Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000614 0.000697 0.000785 0.000884 0.000994 0.001110 0.001243
2026-01-18 0.000477 0.000591 0.000719 0.000873 0.001053 0.001256 0.001501
2026-01-25 0.000411 0.000539 0.000691 0.000881 0.001112 0.001382 0.001716
2026-02-01 0.000358 0.000495 0.000664 0.000884 0.001159 0.001490 0.001911
2026-02-08 0.000303 0.000442 0.000618 0.000856 0.001162 0.001539 0.002032
2026-02-15 0.000261 0.000399 0.000580 0.000832 0.001167 0.001588 0.002151
2026-02-22 0.000232 0.000371 0.000559 0.000828 0.001193 0.001662 0.002302
2026-03-01 0.000209 0.000348 0.000543 0.000828 0.001223 0.001741 0.002458
2026-03-08 0.000187 0.000324 0.000522 0.000819 0.001239 0.001801 0.002590
2026-03-15 0.000166 0.000300 0.000500 0.000806 0.001249 0.001850 0.002708
2026-03-22 0.000157 0.000294 0.000502 0.000828 0.001308 0.001968 0.002921
2026-03-29 0.000147 0.000284 0.000499 0.000841 0.001353 0.002067 0.003110
2026-04-05 0.000133 0.000267 0.000482 0.000834 0.001369 0.002127 0.003247
2026-04-12 0.000119 0.000249 0.000464 0.000823 0.001379 0.002176 0.003371
2026-04-19 0.000111 0.000240 0.000459 0.000831 0.001416 0.002267 0.003554
2026-04-26 0.000102 0.000229 0.000451 0.000834 0.001445 0.002345 0.003722
2026-05-03 0.000089 0.000210 0.000425 0.000806 0.001427 0.002353 0.003786
2026-05-10 0.000079 0.000193 0.000403 0.000784 0.001415 0.002369 0.003862
2026-05-17 0.000072 0.000183 0.000393 0.000780 0.001431 0.002426 0.004001
2026-05-24 0.000066 0.000175 0.000385 0.000780 0.001453 0.002494 0.004154
2026-05-31 0.000060 0.000165 0.000373 0.000771 0.001460 0.002538 0.004273
2026-06-07 0.000054 0.000154 0.000359 0.000759 0.001460 0.002572 0.004378
2026-06-14 0.000052 0.000153 0.000364 0.000780 0.001518 0.002696 0.004622